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2004 NFL Power Rankings (Final)
PWR: Total Points (average per game)
AvgMarg: Average Margin of Victory
SOS: Strength of Schedule Ranking (1 indicates the toughest schedule)
How the Rankings are Calculated
| Rank |
Team |
PWR |
W |
L |
AvgMarg |
SOS |
| 1 |
NewEngland |
11.2 |
14 |
2 |
11.1 |
10 |
| 2 |
Pittsburgh |
8.8 |
15 |
1 |
7.6 |
12 |
| 3 |
SanDiego |
8.5 |
12 |
4 |
8.3 |
19 |
| 4 |
Indianapolis |
8.2 |
12 |
4 |
10.7 |
9 |
| 5 |
Philadelphia |
6.3 |
13 |
3 |
7.9 |
23 |
| 6 |
NYJets |
5.0 |
10 |
6 |
4.5 |
8 |
| 7 |
Baltimore |
4.2 |
9 |
7 |
3.1 |
3 |
| 8 |
Buffalo |
4.0 |
9 |
7 |
6.9 |
11 |
| 9 |
Denver |
3.9 |
10 |
6 |
4.8 |
18 |
| 10 |
GreenBay |
2.7 |
10 |
6 |
2.8 |
27 |
| 11 |
Atlanta |
2.1 |
11 |
5 |
0.2 |
32 |
| 12 |
Jacksonville |
1.5 |
9 |
7 |
-1.2 |
7 |
| 13 |
KansasCity |
0.7 |
7 |
9 |
3.0 |
4 |
| 14 |
Minnesota |
0.3 |
8 |
8 |
0.6 |
22 |
| 15 |
Cincinnati |
0.3 |
8 |
8 |
0.1 |
5 |
| 16 |
Seattle |
-0.9 |
9 |
7 |
-0.1 |
31 |
| 17 |
Carolina |
-0.9 |
7 |
9 |
1.0 |
15 |
| 18 |
Houston |
-1.2 |
7 |
9 |
-1.9 |
17 |
| 19 |
NewOrleans |
-2.3 |
8 |
8 |
-3.6 |
28 |
| 20 |
NYGiants |
-3.0 |
6 |
10 |
-2.8 |
13 |
| 21 |
StLouis |
-3.2 |
8 |
8 |
-4.6 |
20 |
| 22 |
TampaBay |
-3.3 |
5 |
11 |
-0.2 |
26 |
| 23 |
Detroit |
-3.5 |
6 |
10 |
-3.4 |
21 |
| 24 |
Arizona |
-3.9 |
6 |
10 |
-2.4 |
29 |
| 25 |
Oakland |
-4.3 |
5 |
11 |
-7.6 |
2 |
| 26 |
Miami |
-4.6 |
4 |
12 |
-4.9 |
6 |
| 27 |
Washington |
-4.7 |
6 |
10 |
-1.6 |
24 |
| 28 |
Dallas |
-4.9 |
6 |
10 |
-7.0 |
14 |
| 29 |
Cleveland |
-5.5 |
4 |
12 |
-7.1 |
1 |
| 30 |
Tennessee |
-6.3 |
5 |
11 |
-5.9 |
16 |
| 31 |
Chicago |
-6.4 |
5 |
11 |
-6.3 |
30 |
| 32 |
SanFrancisco |
-11.1 |
2 |
14 |
-12.1 |
25 |
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The NFL Computer Rankings are calculated as follows:
Example: Dolphins at Patriots
The Dolphins average point differential (all games): +8
The Dolphins average point differential (road games): +4 (the Dolphins will be the road team)
Average of the above two numbers: +6 (this is the measure the Patriots will be judged against)
Scenario 1: If the Patriots win by 4, their "Power Score" for this game would be +10 (4 + 6). This is because the
Patriots were ten points better than a typical Dolphin opponent.
Scenario 2: If the Patriots lose by 4, their "Power Score" would be +2 (-4 + 6). Despite the loss,
the Patriots performed two points better than a typical Dolphin opponent.
Scenario 3: If the Patriots lose by 10, their "Power Score" would be -4 (-10 + 6). In this
scenario, the Patriots performed worse than a typical Dolphin opponent by 4 points.
If the Patriots were playing the Bengals and the Bengals typically lose by 10, the
Pats would need to win by 11 or more to achieve a positive "Power Score." If the Patriots won by 3, they
would still have a negative score because they performed worse than the typical Bengals opponent.
A team's Total Power Index ("PWR" in the table above) is the sum of a team's "Power Score" for all games
divided by the number of games played PLUS a winning percentage component (from a minimum of -4 to a
maximum of +4). Please note that a team's "Power Score" in each individual game cannot exceed 12 in
a victory and 5 in a loss nor can it be less than -12 in a loss or -5 in a win. The maximum "PWR" value
that a team could have is 16 (12 for the "Power Score" and 4 for the winning percentage adjustment). By the
same token, no team could have a score worse than -16.
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STAT ANALYSIS ARCHIVE
2003 NFL Power Rankings
2002 NFL Power Rankings
How to Fill Out Your NCAA Brackets
Best Baseball Teams Dollar for Dollar
NFL Playoff Analysis (2003)
Best and Worst MLB Teams in Close Games (2002)
NBA Playoffs Analysis (2002)
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